NFC (all 16 teams)
Vegas gives the Lions the highest expected score in the NFC this week at about 28.3 points as 3-point favorites; the Giants are lowest at about 16.3. By EPA per play, the 49ers have the group's best offense (#2 in the NFL) and the Vikings the best defense (#1). On bye in week 7: Commanders.
NFC (all 16 teams) standings
Week 7 matchups
| Team | Opponent | Kickoff | Spread | Total | Team expected pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys | @ Eagles | Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | -4.5 | 44.5 | 24.5 |
| Giants | @ Texans | Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +10 | 42.5 | 16.3 |
| Eagles | vs Cowboys | Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 PM ET | +4.5 | 44.5 | 20 |
| Commanders | Bye | ||||
| Bears | vs Patriots | Thu, Oct 22, 8:15 PM ET | -3 | 50.5 | 26.8 |
| Lions | vs Packers | Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -3 | 53.5 | 28.3 |
| Packers | @ Lions | Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +3 | 53.5 | 25.3 |
| Vikings | vs Colts | Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -6.5 | 41.5 | 24 |
| Falcons | vs 49ers | Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +3 | 50.5 | 23.8 |
| Panthers | vs Buccaneers | Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -3.5 | 44.5 | 24 |
| Saints | vs Steelers | Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | +3.5 | 44.5 | 20.5 |
| Buccaneers | @ Panthers | Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +3.5 | 44.5 | 20.5 |
| Cardinals | vs Broncos | Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | +4.5 | 43.5 | 19.5 |
| Rams | @ Raiders | Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -4.5 | 47.5 | 26 |
| 49ers | @ Falcons | Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -3 | 50.5 | 26.8 |
| Seahawks | vs Chiefs | Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | -2.5 | 42.5 | 22.5 |
Spread is from that team's side (minus = favored). Expected points come from the Vegas total and spread. Lines: nflverse schedule data.
Top projected players this week
From BFN Hot Picks (PPR scoring), our own projection built from workload, Vegas totals, matchups and injury reports.
- Cowboys: Dak Prescott (QB, 23.2 pts, range 12.1-31.1); CeeDee Lamb (WR, 21.6 pts, range 8-31.5)
- Giants: Malik Nabers (WR, 16 pts, range 5.9-23.4); Isaiah Likely (TE, 13.9 pts, range 5.7-23.6)
- Eagles: DeVonta Smith (WR, 15.6 pts, range 5.8-22.8); Dallas Goedert (TE, 10.3 pts, range 4.2-17.6)
- Bears: Caleb Williams (QB, 24.3 pts, range 12.6-32.6); D'Andre Swift (RB, 18.9 pts, range 9.1-29)
- Lions: Jahmyr Gibbs (RB, 31.7 pts, range 15.2-48.8); Jared Goff (QB, 28.7 pts, range 14.9-38.5)
- Packers: Jordan Love (QB, 25.9 pts, range 13.5-34.7); Matthew Golden (WR, 18.7 pts, range 6.9-27.3)
- Vikings: Kyler Murray (QB, 17.3 pts, range 9-23.2); Justin Jefferson (WR, 15.6 pts, range 5.8-22.8)
- Falcons: Bijan Robinson (RB, 21.4 pts, range 10.3-32.9); Michael Penix (QB, 18.4 pts, range 9.6-24.7)
- Panthers: Bryce Young (QB, 25.3 pts, range 13.2-33.9); Tetairoa McMillan (WR, 17.5 pts, range 6.5-25.6)
- Saints: Tyler Shough (QB, 19.6 pts, range 10.2-26.2); Chris Olave (WR, 17.1 pts, range 6.3-25)
- Buccaneers: Bucky Irving (RB, 15.2 pts, range 7.3-23.4)
- Cardinals: Jacoby Brissett (QB, 19.5 pts, range 10.1-26.1); Trey McBride (TE, 16.5 pts, range 6.7-28)
- Rams: Puka Nacua (WR, 25.5 pts, range 9.4-37.3); Matthew Stafford (QB, 23.9 pts, range 12.4-32.1)
- 49ers: Brock Purdy (QB, 25.6 pts, range 13.3-34.3); Christian McCaffrey (RB, 22.3 pts, range 10.7-34.4)
- Seahawks: Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR, 22.5 pts, range 8.3-32.8)
Advanced stats: EPA ranks through week 6
| Team | Offense EPA/play | Offense success rate | Defense EPA allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers | +0.18 (#2) | 52% (#1) | -0.06 (#5) |
| Lions | +0.18 (#3) | 49% (#3) | +0.17 (#32) |
| Cowboys | +0.11 (#6) | 48% (#5) | +0.15 (#31) |
| Panthers | +0.09 (#8) | 44% (#17) | -0.01 (#19) |
| Rams | +0.04 (#12) | 47% (#6) | -0.02 (#14) |
| Bears | +0.03 (#14) | 47% (#7) | -0.04 (#8) |
| Packers | -0.00 (#15) | 40% (#26) | -0.03 (#12) |
| Giants | -0.01 (#16) | 43% (#18) | +0.03 (#23) |
| Commanders | -0.01 (#17) | 41% (#23) | +0.07 (#26) |
| Cardinals | -0.01 (#18) | 46% (#11) | +0.09 (#28) |
| Saints | -0.04 (#20) | 42% (#21) | +0.07 (#27) |
| Falcons | -0.05 (#23) | 44% (#13) | -0.03 (#11) |
| Seahawks | -0.07 (#26) | 42% (#22) | -0.11 (#2) |
| Vikings | -0.10 (#27) | 37% (#32) | -0.23 (#1) |
| Eagles | -0.11 (#28) | 37% (#31) | +0.06 (#25) |
| Buccaneers | -0.13 (#30) | 39% (#27) | -0.08 (#4) |
EPA = expected points added per play (# = NFL rank; for defense, less allowed ranks higher). Computed by Breaking Fantasy News from nflverse play-by-play.
Latest NFC news
- Source: Giants releasing Harris amid ongoing RB woes ESPN NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Opportunity opens for the next player up.
- Saints arrive in Paris for Sunday's game against Steelers Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Falcons to sign LB Charles Snowden ProFootballTalk · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Adds competition; watch the first depth chart after this move.
- I Hate Fantasy Football! – Week 7 Waivers Razzball Football · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- ‘I Don’t Want to Hear the Victim Thing for Troy Aikman’ — Bill Simmons Shoots Down ‘Narrative’ That ESPN Is Pushing Out Cowboys Legend Pro Football Network · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Could the Vikings Get Flexed to Sunday Night Football In Week 8? Maybe, But. . . Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Giants release running back who questioned team's plan at the position Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Opportunity opens for the next player up.
- Four Takeaways from Falcons Field-Level Experience Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Wolverines in the NFL: J.J. McCarthy sparks comeback for New York Giants Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- The Eagles left Nick Sirianni hanging Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- With Matthew Stafford's next loss, he ties Vinny Testaverde for the most QB losses ever ProFootballTalk · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Results story; limited roster impact.
- ‘They’re Getting Bullied’ — Patriots Legends Julian Edelman, Rob Gronkowski Give Sean McVay’s Rams The Blueprint To Climb Out of 2-4 Hole Pro Football Network · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- The 49ers are the Super Bowl favorites … but there’s a catch SB Nation NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Giants release Najee Harris days after criticizing New York's running back rotation CBS Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Opportunity opens for the next player up.
- Rams’ division title odds crushed after Monday night Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Results story; limited roster impact.
- Source: The Giants are releasing RB Najee Harris, another RB shakeup. Ian Rapoport · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Opportunity opens for the next player up.
- ‘Something I Never Knew,’ ‘Would’ve Had a Super Bowl MVP Trophy’ — NFL Fans Stunned Upon Learning Full Story of Bears’ Grady Jarrett’s Redemption Arc Pro Football Network · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Giants will release Najee Harris Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Opportunity opens for the next player up.
- Week 7 fantasy quarterback rankings: Top QB streamers, starts Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Monitor status; backups gain value if he misses time.
- Najee Harris Released After Criticizing the Giants’ RB Rotation Draft Sharks Shark Bites · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Opportunity opens for the next player up.
Headlines link to the original publisher. Fantasy impact notes are written by Breaking Fantasy News.