NFC North
Vegas gives the Lions the highest expected score in the NFC North this week at about 28.3 points as 3-point favorites; the Vikings are lowest at about 24. By EPA per play, the Lions have the group's best offense (#3 in the NFL) and the Vikings the best defense (#1).
NFC North standings
| Team | Record |
|---|---|
| Minnesota Vikings | 5-0 |
| Chicago Bears | 4-2 |
| Green Bay Packers | 4-2 |
| Detroit Lions | 3-2 |
Week 7 matchups
| Team | Opponent | Kickoff | Spread | Total | Team expected pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bears | vs Patriots | Thu, Oct 22, 8:15 PM ET | -3 | 50.5 | 26.8 |
| Lions | vs Packers | Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | -3 | 53.5 | 28.3 |
| Packers | @ Lions | Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +3 | 53.5 | 25.3 |
| Vikings | vs Colts | Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -6.5 | 41.5 | 24 |
Spread is from that team's side (minus = favored). Expected points come from the Vegas total and spread. Lines: nflverse schedule data.
Top projected players this week
From BFN Hot Picks (PPR scoring), our own projection built from workload, Vegas totals, matchups and injury reports.
- Bears: Caleb Williams (QB, 24.3 pts, range 12.6-32.6); D'Andre Swift (RB, 18.9 pts, range 9.1-29); Luther Burden (WR, 13.9 pts, range 5.1-20.3)
- Lions: Jahmyr Gibbs (RB, 31.7 pts, range 15.2-48.8); Jared Goff (QB, 28.7 pts, range 14.9-38.5); Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR, 22.9 pts, range 8.5-33.5)
- Packers: Jordan Love (QB, 25.9 pts, range 13.5-34.7); Matthew Golden (WR, 18.7 pts, range 6.9-27.3); Christian Watson (WR, 18.6 pts, range 6.9-27.2)
- Vikings: Kyler Murray (QB, 17.3 pts, range 9-23.2); Justin Jefferson (WR, 15.6 pts, range 5.8-22.8); Aaron Jones (RB, 14.1 pts, range 6.8-21.8)
Advanced stats: EPA ranks through week 6
| Team | Offense EPA/play | Offense success rate | Defense EPA allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | +0.18 (#3) | 49% (#3) | +0.17 (#32) |
| Bears | +0.03 (#14) | 47% (#7) | -0.04 (#8) |
| Packers | -0.00 (#15) | 40% (#26) | -0.03 (#12) |
| Vikings | -0.10 (#27) | 37% (#32) | -0.23 (#1) |
EPA = expected points added per play (# = NFL rank; for defense, less allowed ranks higher). Computed by Breaking Fantasy News from nflverse play-by-play.
Latest NFC North news
- Could the Vikings Get Flexed to Sunday Night Football In Week 8? Maybe, But. . . Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- ‘Something I Never Knew,’ ‘Would’ve Had a Super Bowl MVP Trophy’ — NFL Fans Stunned Upon Learning Full Story of Bears’ Grady Jarrett’s Redemption Arc Pro Football Network · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Week 7 fantasy quarterback rankings: Top QB streamers, starts Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Monitor status; backups gain value if he misses time.
- U2 will headline halftime show for Packers-Rams Thanksgiving eve game on Netflix Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Dan Campbell: Penei Sewell's switch to left tackle has been outstanding ProFootballTalk · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Cowboys at Packers: Joey Porter Jr. makes his presence felt in tough loss Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Results story; limited roster impact.
- Nittany Lions in the NFL 2026: Week 6 Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Packers battling penalty onslaught Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Detroit Lions bye week evaluation: Is the team really on the rise? Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Film study: Packers’ deep passing attack is a paper tiger Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Getting Defensive: Week 7 fantasy plays led by Vikings, Steelers; top streaming defenses Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- 6 lessons learned in Week 6: Bears' defense gets a weapon back, lackluster Giants have two superstars CBS Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- 3 Reasons Why the Chicago Bears Won vs. the Falcons Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- NFL Week 7 picks and score predictions: Bears top Patriots in Thursday thriller, Chiefs edge Seahawks CBS Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Examining the roster ties between Patriots, Bears ahead of Week 7 Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Patriots injury analysis: O-line left in shambles after Jets game Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Monitor status; backups gain value if he misses time.
- The Bear’s Den: Both Bears and New England Patriots have injuries Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Monitor status; backups gain value if he misses time.
- Week 7 NFL power rankings: Bears bounce back as Seahawks, Rams, Eagles continue free fall The Athletic NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Brian Flores is taking on the entire NFL, and he won't back down The Athletic NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Report: Chicago Bears Jonah Jackson week-to-week with a hip flexor Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Results story; limited roster impact.
- ‘So Bad and Pathetic,’ ‘What Is This Nonsense?’ — Bears Fans Call Out Columnist for ‘Embarrassing’ Article on Ben Johnson Pro Football Network · October 19, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Monday practice report for Bears Yahoo Sports NFL · October 19, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- OT Morgan Moses, WR A.J. Brown limited on Patriots' estimated report ProFootballTalk · October 19, 2026Fantasy impact: Opportunity opens for the next player up.
Headlines link to the original publisher. Fantasy impact notes are written by Breaking Fantasy News.