AFC South
Vegas gives the Texans the highest expected score in the AFC South this week at about 26.3 points as 10-point favorites; the Colts are lowest at about 17.5. By EPA per play, the Jaguars have the group's best offense (#5 in the NFL) and the Jaguars the best defense (#17). On bye in week 7: Jaguars.
AFC South standings
| Team | Record |
|---|---|
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 4-2 |
| Houston Texans | 2-4 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 2-4 |
| Tennessee Titans | 1-5 |
Week 7 matchups
| Team | Opponent | Kickoff | Spread | Total | Team expected pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans | vs Giants | Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -10 | 42.5 | 26.3 |
| Colts | @ Vikings | Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +6.5 | 41.5 | 17.5 |
| Jaguars | Bye | ||||
| Titans | vs Browns | Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +1.5 | 38.5 | 18.5 |
Spread is from that team's side (minus = favored). Expected points come from the Vegas total and spread. Lines: nflverse schedule data.
Top projected players this week
From BFN Hot Picks (PPR scoring), our own projection built from workload, Vegas totals, matchups and injury reports.
Advanced stats: EPA ranks through week 6
| Team | Offense EPA/play | Offense success rate | Defense EPA allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars | +0.11 (#5) | 47% (#10) | -0.02 (#17) |
| Texans | +0.04 (#10) | 44% (#14) | +0.01 (#20) |
| Colts | -0.05 (#22) | 43% (#19) | +0.05 (#24) |
| Titans | -0.13 (#31) | 40% (#25) | +0.03 (#22) |
EPA = expected points added per play (# = NFL rank; for defense, less allowed ranks higher). Computed by Breaking Fantasy News from nflverse play-by-play.
Latest AFC South news
- Titans abruptly release DT Elliott for undisclosed reasons ESPN NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Opportunity opens for the next player up.
- Titans release DT Jordan Elliott following undisclosed incident at team facility that occurred days before Week 6 win Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Opportunity opens for the next player up.
- Former Browns defender released by Titans due to ‘incident,’ won’t face former team in Week 7 Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Opportunity opens for the next player up.
- Titans release DT Jordan Elliott after 'incident' at team facility CBS Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Opportunity opens for the next player up.
- Titans release veteran defender after 'incident' at team facility Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Opportunity opens for the next player up.
- Why the Colts GM search could get interesting, and names to watch The Athletic NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Titans release DT Jordan Elliott after incident at team's facility ProFootballTalk · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Opportunity opens for the next player up.
- Alec Pierce not ready to return to practice this week Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Seven things Solak thinks: Colts were right to give Steichen more time? Eagles could trade stars? ESPN NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Target/touch shares shift on both teams. Re-check depth charts.
- What's wrong with Sam Darnold, Justin Herbert and the Cowboys vs. the blitz? The Athletic NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- How much is DeForest Buckner worth on the trade market? Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Target/touch shares shift on both teams. Re-check depth charts.
- Tennessee Titans news: Moving forward after win vs. Colts Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Results story; limited roster impact.
- Ravens discussion: should Eric DeCosta make a trade with the Colts? Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Target/touch shares shift on both teams. Re-check depth charts.
- ‘There’s a Reason He Lives in Denver’ — Radio Host Makes Pointed Observation About Peyton Manning Potentially Buying a Stake in the Colts Pro Football Network · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- How a Jonathan Taylor trade could work for Colts and Cincinnati Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Target/touch shares shift on both teams. Re-check depth charts.
- Grading all 32 NFL first-round rookies after Week 6 PFF · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Week 7: 5 to add, drop, buy low, sell high PFF · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Opportunity opens for the next player up.
- Prisco's NFL Week 7 Power Rankings: Rams are a mess, Texans climb eight spots CBS Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- ‘Would Further Set Back This Organization,’ ‘Stop Living in the Past’ — Colts Fans Reject Rumors of Peyton Manning Potentially Becoming New GM Pro Football Network · October 19, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- What if the Colts had traded for Stafford instead of the Rams? Yahoo Sports NFL · October 19, 2026Fantasy impact: Target/touch shares shift on both teams. Re-check depth charts.
- Harbaugh: Giants 'honing in on' QB decision for Sunday vs. Texans ESPN NFL · October 19, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Is a Colts' fire sale coming? What that could look like and what big names could be traded away CBS Sports NFL · October 19, 2026Fantasy impact: Target/touch shares shift on both teams. Re-check depth charts.
- Shane Steichen shoulders some blame, says Colts' failures aren't all on Chris Ballard The Athletic NFL · October 19, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
Headlines link to the original publisher. Fantasy impact notes are written by Breaking Fantasy News.