AFC East
Vegas gives the Patriots the highest expected score in the AFC East this week at about 23.8 points; the Dolphins are lowest at about 17. By EPA per play, the Bills have the group's best offense (#1 in the NFL) and the Jets the best defense (#13). On bye in week 7: Bills.
AFC East standings
| Team | Record |
|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | 5-1 |
| New England Patriots | 4-2 |
| New York Jets | 2-4 |
| Miami Dolphins | 0-5 |
Week 7 matchups
| Team | Opponent | Kickoff | Spread | Total | Team expected pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | Bye | ||||
| Dolphins | @ Jets | Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +4.5 | 38.5 | 17 |
| Patriots | @ Bears | Thu, Oct 22, 8:15 PM ET | +3 | 50.5 | 23.8 |
| Jets | vs Dolphins | Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -4.5 | 38.5 | 21.5 |
Spread is from that team's side (minus = favored). Expected points come from the Vegas total and spread. Lines: nflverse schedule data.
Top projected players this week
From BFN Hot Picks (PPR scoring), our own projection built from workload, Vegas totals, matchups and injury reports.
Advanced stats: EPA ranks through week 6
| Team | Offense EPA/play | Offense success rate | Defense EPA allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | +0.21 (#1) | 49% (#2) | +0.15 (#30) |
| Patriots | +0.04 (#11) | 45% (#12) | -0.02 (#18) |
| Jets | -0.02 (#19) | 44% (#16) | -0.03 (#13) |
| Dolphins | -0.12 (#29) | 38% (#29) | +0.11 (#29) |
EPA = expected points added per play (# = NFL rank; for defense, less allowed ranks higher). Computed by Breaking Fantasy News from nflverse play-by-play.
Latest AFC East news
- Dolphins re-signing K Zane Gonzalez, releasing K Riley Patterson ProFootballTalk · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Opportunity opens for the next player up.
- Fantasy football Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em: 16 players to start or sit in Week 7 Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Tuesday Miami Dolphins Thoughts With The Earl Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- ‘They’re Getting Bullied’ — Patriots Legends Julian Edelman, Rob Gronkowski Give Sean McVay’s Rams The Blueprint To Climb Out of 2-4 Hole Pro Football Network · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- After Week 6 the Jets own three of the top 13 picks in the 2027 NFL Draft Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Patriots vs. Jets snap counts: A.J. Brown sees a heavy workload in his return Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Results story; limited roster impact.
- Christian Benford’s play has returned to normal in Bills defense Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Fantasy Football Panic Meter: Broncos' offense, Patriots' backfield among biggest concerns going into Week 7 Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Patriots News: Vrabel – ’Everybody prepares as a starter’ Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Role change — adjust weekly rankings for everyone in that room.
- Dolphins to make move at kicker amid Riley Patterson struggles Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Adds competition; watch the first depth chart after this move.
- Week 7 NFL Power Rankings 2026: Patriots, Panthers, Browns Among Biggest Risers After Wins Pro Football Network · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Results story; limited roster impact.
- Week 7 NFL odds, picks, predictions: Computer model backs Jets and Broncos CBS Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Results story; limited roster impact.
- Position grades from the Patriots’ win over the Jets Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Results story; limited roster impact.
- How former Cyclones performed in Week 6 of the NFL Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Bills defense not better, but certainly different, in 2026 Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- NFL Draft's first-round gamble: What Jets, Browns can learn from Super Bowl winners and failed rebuilds CBS Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Results story; limited roster impact.
- NFL Week 7 picks and score predictions: Bears top Patriots in Thursday thriller, Chiefs edge Seahawks CBS Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- New York Jets News: Team Faces a Lose-Lose Scenario in Dolphins Game Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Examining the roster ties between Patriots, Bears ahead of Week 7 Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Aaron Glenn: Frank Reich is doing a good job as offensive coordinator ProFootballTalk · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Patriots injury analysis: O-line left in shambles after Jets game Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Monitor status; backups gain value if he misses time.
- Joe Brady says Bills won't be cutting C.J. Gardner-Johnson after spitting incident Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
Headlines link to the original publisher. Fantasy impact notes are written by Breaking Fantasy News.