AFC (all 16 teams)
Vegas gives the Ravens the highest expected score in the AFC this week at about 27.3 points as 3-point favorites; the Dolphins are lowest at about 17. By EPA per play, the Bills have the group's best offense (#1 in the NFL) and the Chiefs the best defense (#3). On bye in week 7: Bills, Jaguars, Chargers.
AFC (all 16 teams) standings
Week 7 matchups
| Team | Opponent | Kickoff | Spread | Total | Team expected pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | Bye | ||||
| Dolphins | @ Jets | Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +4.5 | 38.5 | 17 |
| Patriots | @ Bears | Thu, Oct 22, 8:15 PM ET | +3 | 50.5 | 23.8 |
| Jets | vs Dolphins | Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -4.5 | 38.5 | 21.5 |
| Ravens | vs Bengals | Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -3 | 51.5 | 27.3 |
| Bengals | @ Ravens | Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +3 | 51.5 | 24.3 |
| Browns | @ Titans | Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -1.5 | 38.5 | 20 |
| Steelers | @ Saints | Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 AM ET | -3.5 | 44.5 | 24 |
| Texans | vs Giants | Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | -10 | 42.5 | 26.3 |
| Colts | @ Vikings | Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +6.5 | 41.5 | 17.5 |
| Jaguars | Bye | ||||
| Titans | vs Browns | Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET | +1.5 | 38.5 | 18.5 |
| Broncos | @ Cardinals | Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET | -4.5 | 43.5 | 24 |
| Chiefs | @ Seahawks | Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 PM ET | +2.5 | 42.5 | 20 |
| Raiders | vs Rams | Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 PM ET | +4.5 | 47.5 | 21.5 |
| Chargers | Bye | ||||
Spread is from that team's side (minus = favored). Expected points come from the Vegas total and spread. Lines: nflverse schedule data.
Top projected players this week
From BFN Hot Picks (PPR scoring), our own projection built from workload, Vegas totals, matchups and injury reports.
- Dolphins: Ollie Gordon (RB, 11.8 pts, range 5.6-18.1)
- Patriots: Drake Maye (QB, 24.2 pts, range 12.6-32.4); Rhamondre Stevenson (RB, 11.1 pts, range 5.3-17)
- Jets: Garrett Wilson (WR, 14.7 pts, range 5.4-21.4); Kenyon Sadiq (TE, 8.9 pts, range 3.6-15.1)
- Ravens: Derrick Henry (RB, 20.3 pts, range 9.7-31.2); Zay Flowers (WR, 19.1 pts, range 7.1-27.8)
- Bengals: Joe Burrow (QB, 24 pts, range 12.5-32.1); Ja'Marr Chase (WR, 18.9 pts, range 7-27.6)
- Browns: Deshaun Watson (QB, 16.3 pts, range 8.5-21.8); Harold Fannin (TE, 9 pts, range 3.7-15.3)
- Steelers: Aaron Rodgers (QB, 20.8 pts, range 10.8-27.9); Jaylen Warren (RB, 17.4 pts, range 8.3-26.7)
- Texans: C.J. Stroud (QB, 23.2 pts, range 12.1-31.1); Nico Collins (WR, 17.4 pts, range 6.4-25.4)
- Colts: Jonathan Taylor (RB, 17.2 pts, range 8.2-26.4)
- Broncos: Bo Nix (QB, 20.1 pts, range 10.4-26.9); RJ Harvey (RB, 11.5 pts, range 5.5-17.7)
- Chiefs: Kenneth Walker (RB, 22.1 pts, range 10.6-34); Patrick Mahomes (QB, 18.8 pts, range 9.8-25.3)
- Raiders: Kirk Cousins (QB, 19.9 pts, range 10.3-26.6); Brock Bowers (TE, 18 pts, range 7.4-30.7)
Advanced stats: EPA ranks through week 6
| Team | Offense EPA/play | Offense success rate | Defense EPA allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | +0.21 (#1) | 49% (#2) | +0.15 (#30) |
| Chiefs | +0.14 (#4) | 49% (#4) | -0.08 (#3) |
| Jaguars | +0.11 (#5) | 47% (#10) | -0.02 (#17) |
| Ravens | +0.10 (#7) | 47% (#8) | -0.02 (#16) |
| Bengals | +0.07 (#9) | 47% (#9) | -0.02 (#15) |
| Texans | +0.04 (#10) | 44% (#14) | +0.01 (#20) |
| Patriots | +0.04 (#11) | 45% (#12) | -0.02 (#18) |
| Raiders | +0.04 (#13) | 44% (#15) | +0.02 (#21) |
| Jets | -0.02 (#19) | 44% (#16) | -0.03 (#13) |
| Steelers | -0.05 (#21) | 42% (#20) | -0.06 (#6) |
| Colts | -0.05 (#22) | 43% (#19) | +0.05 (#24) |
| Broncos | -0.06 (#24) | 39% (#28) | -0.05 (#7) |
| Browns | -0.07 (#25) | 40% (#24) | -0.03 (#10) |
| Dolphins | -0.12 (#29) | 38% (#29) | +0.11 (#29) |
| Titans | -0.13 (#31) | 40% (#25) | +0.03 (#22) |
| Chargers | -0.21 (#32) | 37% (#30) | -0.03 (#9) |
EPA = expected points added per play (# = NFL rank; for defense, less allowed ranks higher). Computed by Breaking Fantasy News from nflverse play-by-play.
Latest AFC news
- Saints arrive in Paris for Sunday's game against Steelers Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Titans abruptly release DT Elliott for undisclosed reasons ESPN NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Opportunity opens for the next player up.
- Dolphins re-signing K Zane Gonzalez, releasing K Riley Patterson ProFootballTalk · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Opportunity opens for the next player up.
- Fantasy football Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em: 16 players to start or sit in Week 7 Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Tuesday Miami Dolphins Thoughts With The Earl Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Chargers Power Rankings Roundup: Bolts hit rock bottom after 0-6 start Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Results story; limited roster impact.
- Titans release DT Jordan Elliott following undisclosed incident at team facility that occurred days before Week 6 win Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Opportunity opens for the next player up.
- ‘They’re Getting Bullied’ — Patriots Legends Julian Edelman, Rob Gronkowski Give Sean McVay’s Rams The Blueprint To Climb Out of 2-4 Hole Pro Football Network · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Todd Monken: We're better with Jerry Jeudy than we are without him ProFootballTalk · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Role change — adjust weekly rankings for everyone in that room.
- Former Browns defender released by Titans due to ‘incident,’ won’t face former team in Week 7 Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Opportunity opens for the next player up.
- After Week 6 the Jets own three of the top 13 picks in the 2027 NFL Draft Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Patriots vs. Jets snap counts: A.J. Brown sees a heavy workload in his return Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Results story; limited roster impact.
- Christian Benford’s play has returned to normal in Bills defense Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Mike Macdonald has super encouraging update on Zach Charbonnet Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Monitor status; backups gain value if he misses time.
- Fantasy Football Panic Meter: Broncos' offense, Patriots' backfield among biggest concerns going into Week 7 Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Titans release DT Jordan Elliott after 'incident' at team facility CBS Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Opportunity opens for the next player up.
- Titans release veteran defender after 'incident' at team facility Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Opportunity opens for the next player up.
- Why the Colts GM search could get interesting, and names to watch The Athletic NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: No direct fantasy action needed.
- Patriots News: Vrabel – ’Everybody prepares as a starter’ Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Role change — adjust weekly rankings for everyone in that room.
- Week 7 odds: Steelers open as slight favorites vs. Saints Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Results story; limited roster impact.
- Bengals sign S Russ Yeast to their active roster ProFootballTalk · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Adds competition; watch the first depth chart after this move.
- Dolphins to make move at kicker amid Riley Patterson struggles Yahoo Sports NFL · October 20, 2026Fantasy impact: Adds competition; watch the first depth chart after this move.
Headlines link to the original publisher. Fantasy impact notes are written by Breaking Fantasy News.